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Trump has picked a politician to lead NASA. Is that a good thing?

Representative James Bridenstine (R-OK) in 2015.

City Year/Flickr (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)

President Donald Trump’s pick to lead NASA, Representative James Bridenstine (R-OK), is a political ally who has long lobbied for the job. If confirmed by the Senate, he is expected to serves as a champion for advocates who seek to open up commercial access to space.

But his views on climate change are likely to draw opposition from some Senators who will consider his nomination.

And some critics are wary of naming a politician to lead an agency known for science and technology.

Bridenstine, who prior to joining the House of Representatives in 2012 served as the executive director of the Tulsa Air and Space Museum and Planetarium, will be expected to immediately help the $18-billion agency define how it will reach its long-term mission of sending humans to Mars. But many expect that Bridenstine, who has written about the commercial potential of exploiting lunar resources, could shift the agency's emphasis toward the Moon.

"If he pivots toward the moon, he may pivot away from Mars science, as some of his colleagues in Congress have sought to do," says John Logsdon, the founder of George Washington University's Space Policy Institute in Washington, D.C.

In the Senate, Bridenstine will likely face stiff opposition from Democrats, in particular for climate-contrarian comments he made in 2013, during his first term in House, while lobbying for additional support for weather research. "Mr. Speaker, global temperatures stopped rising 10 years ago," he said. "Global temperature changes, when they exist, correlate with Sun output and ocean cycles."

Bridenstine has not made many similar remarks since, but this comment will likely draw attention during his upcoming confirmation hearings. "He probably regrets the way he said it," says Kelvin Droegemeier, vice president for research at the University of Oklahoma, who worked with Bridenstine for several years crafting parts of a weather-research bill that became law this past spring. "He'd probably say it differently today."

He won't come in and say we're going to discontinue climate financing and take earth science and trash it. He absolutely believes the planet is warming, that [carbon dioxide] is a greenhouse gas, and that it contributes to warming.

Kevin Droegemeier

So far, while the Trump administration has proposed stiff cuts to earth science at NASA, the Senate has warded those off. Droegemeier does not expect Bridenstine to support slashing the agency’s budget, especially given much of NASA's mission can be framed in terms of collecting data that's as applicable to understanding weather patterns as to understanding climate change. "He won't come in and say we're going to discontinue climate financing and take earth science and trash it," Droegemeier predicts. "He absolutely believes the planet is warming, that [carbon dioxide] is a greenhouse gas, and that it contributes to warming."

Bridenstine has been engaged with NASA for several years now, crafting legislation that has sought a more cohesive framework for the government's role in space, with an emphasis on serving as a pioneer in technology. That close engagement is relatively unique among past nominees, Logsdon says. "He's coming to NASA with a much more articulated view of the program than any predecessor,” he says.

Bridenstine does not have a technical background, having studied economics and psychology at Rice University in Houston, Texas, and receiving an MBA from Cornell University. In the House, he has served on the science and armed services committees. He's seen as an ally of Trump, and his nomination has already drawn opposition from lawmakers including Senator Marco Rubio (R-Florida), who is wary of how Bridenstine’s remarks on climate change could politicize the agency. Bridenstine has also shown little in the way of executive experience, with his career including brief forays into real estate and a rocket-racing league.

But Bridenstine's political chops could also serve the agency well, says Laurie Leshin, the president of Worcester Polytechnic Institute, in Massachusetts, and a former high-ranking NASA official who was set to help lead Hillary Clinton's potential transition. "NASA tends to value people who are geeks like them, in a good way," she says. But NASA often has plenty of technical expertise while lacking political savvy. "Somebody with that background, I think we should give him a chance to be successful."

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